TASHKENT, Podrobno.uz. A new study warns that the climate phenomenon known as Super El Niño could cause more than 450,000 deaths worldwide between September 2026 and February 2027. The Guardian reported on the findings.

Researchers estimate that heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, and floods triggered by El Niño could lead to 451,000 deaths globally. The most severe impacts are projected in tropical countries such as Nigeria, Indonesia, Sudan, India, and Brazil, as well as the Sahel region, Southeast Asia, and the United States. Experts also expect elevated mortality from extreme heat to persist until June or July 2027.

The forecasts were developed using peer-reviewed methods that track the monthly relationship between temperature and excess heat-related deaths across 24,378 regions worldwide. This data was combined with projected temperature increases due to El Niño in the coming months, based on average monthly heat deaths from 1996 to 2025.

Scientists emphasize that such calculations help quickly identify regions requiring urgent protective measures. Proposed solutions include establishing cooling centers, increasing medical staff during peak periods, and implementing additional protections for outdoor workers.

El Niño is a natural phenomenon that warms the surface waters of the Pacific Ocean, leading to intense heatwaves, heavy rains, droughts, and other climate anomalies across the globe.

Source: podrobno.uz