Al-Qaida-linked JNIM militants and Tuareg separatists launched a coordinated assault on military bases, Bamako's international airport, and the northern town of Kidal over the weekend, inflicting heavy casualties on government forces and Russian mercenaries.

Mali's Defense Minister Sadio Camara and the head of military intelligence were killed in the attacks. Russian mercenaries surrendered in Kidal, marking a significant reversal for the junta that had captured the town three years ago.

Analysts suggest JNIM is inspired by Syria's HTS group and aims to carve out an autonomous enclave, gradually eroding state authority. The group employs a long-term strategy of attrition and negotiation rather than seeking outright control of major cities.

The Sahel region accounts for over 70% of global terrorism deaths in just five countries, with three located there. Poverty, instability, and widespread weapons fuel extremism, while brutal counterinsurgency tactics and government failures exacerbate the crisis.

Experts believe JNIM cannot capture Bamako but can force the government to negotiate and adopt elements of its ideology. The alliance with Tuareg separatists is tactical and unlikely to survive a victory.

Source: www.theguardian.com