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Brazil is heading into a pivotal presidential election defined by deep political polarization, as incumbent leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva faces a formidable challenge from conservative Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of former far-right leader Jair Bolsonaro. Polling signals an exceptionally tight race, making a decisive first-round victory unlikely.

The 80-year-old Lula concluded his campaign in the economic hub of Sao Paulo, addressing a crowd of roughly 150,000 supporters. Framing the vote as an existential struggle between democratic stability and authoritarianism, the Workers' Party leader reaffirmed his platform of wealth redistribution, state infrastructure spending, and welfare expansion.

Meanwhile, 45-year-old Flavio Bolsonaro wrapped up campaigning with motorcycle rallies across the countryside, seeking to capitalize on widespread public dissatisfaction with the high cost of living and rising inflation. Branding Lula incompetent, the senator has promised substantial tax cuts, deregulation, and hardline law enforcement policies. Crucially, Flavio has also pledged to pardon his father, who is currently serving a 27-year prison term for attempting a coup following his 2022 defeat.

The contest has also revived geopolitical scrutiny regarding foreign influence. Lula’s allies have repeatedly highlighted the Bolsonaro family's ties to elements within the US regime, particularly Donald Trump, who previously imposed punitive 50% tariffs on Brazilian imports after criticizing Jair Bolsonaro's legal trials. Flavio Bolsonaro, who remains under scrutiny over purported money laundering linked to a film project, maintains that his platform offers pragmatic reform rather than radical disruption.

According to survey data from research firm Quaest, Lula holds a razor-thin lead with 46% against Bolsonaro’s 45% in the first round. With neither candidate positioned to clear the 50% threshold outright, Brazil’s electorate is widely anticipated to head to a volatile runoff scheduled for October 25.

Source: www.dw.com