In Uzbekistan, the current week (March 30 to April 5) features a weather review based on data from “Uzhydromet” and international forecasting centers. This review is not a direct forecast but serves as a tool for simplifying numerical data. Throughout the week, daytime temperatures in most parts of the republic are expected to be close to +30°C, leading to rapid development of vertical clouds and short-term shower precipitation. A noticeable temperature drop is anticipated from Friday onwards.
Northern regions, especially the Republic of Karakalpakstan, are set to remain under the influence of abnormal heat, similar to the previous week. According to international weather bureau data, temperatures in these areas during the week are forecast to be 4-8°C above the multi-year average, which is considered an anomaly. Around the Aral Sea, a very hot week is predicted, potentially negatively impacting the local climate.
Based on weekly forecasts from “Uzhydromet”, short-term precipitation is possible on Monday and Wednesday in all regions except the valley. Showers will mainly be of a thunderstorm nature, and some areas may see no rain at all. Cloudy weather and rain are expected in many places on Tuesday and Thursday, with continuous precipitation likely over the weekend.
According to the precipitation forecast map, some districts in the valley, Jizzakh, Tashkent, and Surkhandarya regions may experience very little rainfall during the week. Main rains are characteristic of oases, northern, and mountainous areas, highlighted in yellow and green colors. This could pose challenges for agriculture and natural resources.
Synoptic data indicate high temperatures throughout the week, particularly from Monday in Bukhara and Navoi regions, where heat around +30°C is expected. By Friday, residents of other regions, excluding the valley, may notice a temperature decrease. Nighttime temperatures will also be high: +10…+15°C in the north, +12…+17°C elsewhere, and up to +20°C in oases and southern areas on some days.
Strong winds are possible in desert areas daily, with potential dust rising in oases. Data from “Uzhydromet” and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) suggest the average weekly temperature across the republic will be 3-6°C above normal, with a notably dry week in the valley and Tashkent region. Higher humidity is expected in Kashkadarya, Bukhara, Navoi, Khorezm regions, and the Republic of Karakalpakstan.
The current week is noted to pass under weather typical of early May, with short-term and shower precipitation increasing mudflow risks, possible thunderstorms, and likely hail events. High temperatures may benefit plant life, but intense rainfall could harm grass and tree development. Humid and hot conditions may adversely affect the health of certain population groups.
From Tuesday, a significant rise in daytime temperatures will begin across the republic, which, due to periodic high humidity, could create discomfort for weather-sensitive individuals. Particularly in plain areas on Tuesday and Wednesday, oxygen deficiency might occur. In densely populated valley and Tashkent regions, low precipitation is forecast, leading to encounters with daytime humid heat values.
At the start of the week, rainless days may cause reduced oxygen levels during the day and lower atmospheric pressure, negatively impacting patients with chronic oxygen deficiency, arterial hypertension, ischemic heart disease, respiratory and lung conditions, potentially causing headaches and general weakness. Consultation with a doctor, breathing exercises, cold water treatments, and taking cardiovascular-regulating medications are recommended.
Bioclimatic conditions during the week may provide pleasant sensations from nighttime and morning temperatures, but daytime heat around +30°C against high humidity is perceived as +35°C, exposing the population to humid heat stress similar to coastal countries. Residents in the north, Bukhara, and Navoi are advised to carry umbrellas.
Information on cosmic influences is provided: a calm period related to solar flares was observed, with international space research institutes noting “green” calm magnetic storms at the week’s start. Forecasts from the Kazakhstan Ionosphere Institute also indicate excitations of geomagnetic storms at a “green” risk level. It is emphasized that globally, no reliable tools exist for forecasting magnetic storms beyond two days.
“Uzhydromet” synoptic experts highlight strong winds in desert areas on Friday and Saturday, which may lead to dust rising and slight air quality deterioration. Dust storms do not persist long in the air, as subsequent precipitation can quickly settle dust to the ground. In case of increased air pollution, it is necessary to follow recommendations from the Sanitary-Epidemiological Committee.
Overall, during the period from March 30 to April 5, climatic and cosmic conditions posing lower risk to human health coincide with Monday and weekend days, but issues related to the heatwave and short-term showers persist.
Source: www.gazeta.uz