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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has alleged that the United States is conditioning future security guarantees for Kyiv on Ukraine's complete withdrawal from the eastern Donbas region. In an interview with Reuters, Zelenskyy stated that the US is prepared to finalize these guarantees at a high level once Ukraine agrees to leave Donbas. This assertion has been welcomed in Moscow, with Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov commenting that a visit by Russian lawmakers to Washington could contribute to the "revival of bilateral relations," while Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly views control over all of Donbas as a prerequisite for a ceasefire.

The key sticking point in stalled negotiations remains Moscow's insistence that Kyiv cede the entirety of the Luhansk and Donetsk regions, which are largely but not fully occupied by Russian forces. Putin has threatened to seize these territories by force if Ukraine refuses, a process that the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War estimates could take several years. Meanwhile, Russian troops are reportedly gearing up for a new spring offensive against fortified Ukrainian positions in Donetsk, with fierce fighting ongoing along the roughly 1,250-kilometer front line.

The conflict in the Middle East is further complicating the situation for Ukraine. Zelenskyy claimed that Russia has attempted to blackmail the US by offering to halt military intelligence sharing with Iran if Washington cuts off intelligence supplies to Kyiv. Additionally, the Pentagon is considering diverting munitions originally earmarked for Ukraine to the Gulf region, as the war against Iran strains US military stockpiles. This could impact Ukraine's air defense capabilities, particularly regarding Patriot missiles, which Zelenskyy noted are in short supply.

European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas criticized the approach of pressuring Ukraine into territorial concessions, calling it "clearly a wrong approach" and part of the "Russian playbook of negotiations." However, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte asserted that US equipment deliveries to Ukraine continue, though Zelenskyy expressed gratitude to the Trump administration while highlighting insufficient Patriot missile supplies. On the ground, Russian attacks on energy facilities in Ukraine's Odesa region left thousands without power, and Ukrainian drone strikes targeted a major oil refinery in Russia's Leningrad region, disrupting export capacity.

The broader geopolitical friction underscores the challenges facing Ukraine as it seeks concrete security guarantees from Western allies. With the US regime allegedly linking support to territorial sacrifices and the Middle East conflict diverting resources, Ukraine's path to deterring future Russian aggression appears increasingly fraught. The situation remains volatile, with both sides escalating military actions and diplomatic efforts stalled, reflecting deep-seated tensions in the region.

Source: www.dw.com